In the frigid wastelands of the financial steppe, Bitcoin stands as a beleaguered sentinel, its once-blazing torch dimmed by the relentless winds of Q4 2025. With a 22.8% decline, it trudges through the second-worst quarter in its storied history, its boots heavy with the mud of $85k. Ah, the Christmas blues-a carol of woe for the faithful hodlers. 🥶

In the grand bazaar of assets, gold gleams like a tsar’s crown, boasting 69% annual gains, while Bitcoin slumps in the corner, nursing a 5% loss. The irony! The digital gold, outshone by its earthly cousin. Who would have thought the future would be so… traditional? 🤡
And so, the question hangs in the air like a frozen icicle: What fate awaits Bitcoin as the year gasps its final breaths?
A Yuletide Bounce or a Sleigh Ride to Oblivion?
The wise scribes at QCP, peering into their crystal screens, foretell volatility on the horizon. Thin liquidity, they say, and the great Options expiry on the 26th-a date etched in the annals of crypto lore. Yet, they offer a crumb of hope: “Downside positioning has eased,” they whisper, “while 100k Calls persist, a flicker of Santa’s rally in the darkness.” 🌟
“Downside positioning has eased as 85k Put open interest drifts lower, while 100k Calls persist, pointing to tentative Santa rally optimism.”
But beware, for the markets may yet remain shackled in their range until the 31st, a prisoner of indecision. Meanwhile, the oracle David prophesies an explosion, a burst of life after the stillness of Christmas Day. “Expect chop,” he intones, “followed by a potential explosive move once the pin is released.” 💥
“Expect chop until Christmas, followed by a potential explosive move once the pin is released.”

The big players, those shadowy titans, pin the price between $85K and $90K, their put and call walls a fortress of $300 million in gamma exposure. But Boxing Day looms, and with it, the promise of liberation-or chaos. 🦹♂️
The liquidation heatmaps, those maps of greed and fear, reveal pools of liquidity at $90K and $95K, and a chasm at $84K. Wild swings, they suggest, like a drunken Cossack at a wedding. 🕺

The Vanishing Act of BTC Demand
Yet, the harbingers of doom at CryptoQuant sound their trumpets. “Demand has contracted,” they declare, their voices echoing through the halls of despair. “A bear market capitulation looms, its claws sharpened on the bones of history.” Since October, the growth has withered, a flower in the frost. 🌼❄️
“The demand growth entered a slowdown period since early October and is now growing below trend. As such, we believe most of this cycle’s demand growth has passed, with the corresponding bearish effect on price.”

They point to $56k, a bottom as cold and hard as Siberian ice, with $70K as the last bastion of support. History, they say, is a stern teacher. 📉
Final Musings
- Might Bitcoin shatter its $85K-$90K chains post-Boxing Day, like a phoenix from the ashes? 🦅
- Or will the mid-term bear market tighten its grip, a winter that knows no end? 🐻
In this saga of highs and lows, of hope and despair, one thing is certain: the crypto steppe is unforgiving, and only the resilient shall endure. 🌪️
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2025-12-24 23:03