Key Takeaways
How has Bitcoin performed in September 2025?
Well, Bitcoin decided to ignore its usual September slump. It gained 8%, held $116K like a champion, and RSI is sitting pretty at 57, which is like the crypto version of “yeah, we’re doing fine.” Parabolic SAR? Yup, it’s still giving the thumbs up for a bullish continuation. Not bad for a month that’s usually the “meh” of the crypto calendar.
What on-chain and derivatives data highlight BTC resilience?
Let’s break it down. NVM Ratio slipped to 2.3 (a slight dip, but not a disaster), Exchange Reserves took a hit, and the Long/Short Ratio is 1.20. Translation? There’s some solid confidence towards $123K, maybe even $130K. Who would’ve thought September would be this bullish?
Bitcoin’s like that one kid in school who’s always behind in September, but suddenly aces the test. It climbed 8%, stayed strong near $117K, and pretty much said, “I’m not following the old patterns, thank you very much.”
Not only that, but the charts were like, “Hey, this is actually working!” as Bitcoin kept its upward trend going, thanks to on-chain data that seems like it’s been hitting the gym, and growing derivatives action. You’re seeing what happens when the market decides to take September seriously for once.
Forget the usual “profit-taking” season, Bitcoin’s showing some real conviction as Exchange Reserves shrink, and leveraged longs are giving the market some extra fuel. Guess what? September could actually be the month we see fresh highs. Shocking, right?
Can Bitcoin’s trendline defense unlock another breakout?
The daily chart? It’s doing its job. Bitcoin’s holding firm above its ascending trendline, which means it’s basically saying, “Yeah, this support level? I like it.” The price is chilling near $116K, defending every retest like it’s protecting its lunch from a seagull.
Resistance? Yeah, there’s that, between $122K and $123.7K. But once that breaks, we might just see the market go wild. RSI? It’s at 57, all nice and balanced, with plenty of room to go up. And the Parabolic SAR? Still below the price, cheering for that bullish continuation. Seriously, it’s like the crypto version of a sports coach that never shuts up about winning.
NVM ratio reset aligns price with network growth
The Network Value to Metcalfe (NVM) Ratio? It dropped to 2.35, reflecting a 7.5% dip. So yeah, network activity’s lagging a little behind market cap. But here’s the kicker: historically, this kind of cool-down helps reset overpriced valuations. In other words, Bitcoin’s got its fundamentals in check, and that’s actually a good thing.
Instead of running on pure hype, Bitcoin’s got some solid valuation support. I mean, who knew sustainability could be a thing in crypto, right?

Are leveraged longs building the fuel for a stronger rally?
On the derivatives side, the Long/Short Ratio is showing 54.58% of traders are betting long, while only 45.42% are shorting. Basically, more people are optimistic about Bitcoin, even though there’s always that nagging fear of profit-taking. Hey, it’s crypto-what do you expect?
But here’s the thing: heavy long exposure might bring more volatility, but it also brings more demand at key levels. If enough traders keep piling in, the resistance at $123K could collapse like a bad soufflé. And then? Well, Bitcoin could surge past $130K like it’s a race car with no brakes. Let’s hope it doesn’t crash, though.

So there you have it. Bitcoin’s rewriting the story of September 2025. It’s got support, cooler valuations, and a growing confidence from traders who are starting to believe it can reach new heights. The big question now: can Bitcoin really break its “September curse” and close the month above $123K? We’ll see. But hey, if it does, let’s all take a victory lap together, yeah?
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2025-09-20 23:08