Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin to Hit $1M-Then Crash Hard in 2029 (Maybe?)

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Ah, Arthur Hayes! The man, the myth, the cryptocurrency oracle-CEO of Maelstrom and co-founder of BitMEX. Always ready to make bold predictions, and this time, he’s outdone himself. In a conversation so riveting it practically sparked a digital riot, Hayes outlined his so-called “Bitcoin masterplan” in an interview that was conveniently deleted from YouTube-because, of course, he violated *community guidelines*. It was a bit like a magician pulling a rabbit out of a hat… and then promptly setting the rabbit on fire. Bravo, Arthur! 😏

E142: @CryptoHayes: Bitcoin masterplan: $1M peak by 2028, crash by 2029

For his second appearance on When Shift Happens – @MaelstromFund CIO – Arthur delivers the rawest, sharpest macro and crypto insights in this no-filter episode.

Timestamps

0:00 Introduction
1:52 Coffee…

– MR SHIFT 🦁 (@KevinWSHPod) October 9, 2025

Hayes, as sharp as a hedgehog in a tuxedo, argues that Bitcoin, of all things, remains the safest investment on Earth (which might sound like a crazy claim, but trust him, he’s done his homework). With Bitcoin boasting a *whopping* 15-year track record, he’s convinced it holds a unique edge over all those other “what-is-that-token-again” coins flooding the market.

Of course, Hayes doesn’t just talk the talk-he walks the walk. He keeps a hefty portion of his own wealth in Bitcoin, proudly calling it a trusty shield against the collapse of fiat currencies. Because, well, Bitcoin has *outperformed* every other asset out there historically. And if anyone can call a shot like that, it’s a guy who once made millions in crypto while everyone else was still figuring out what Ethereum even is. 💸

Bitcoin vs Fiat and Market Outlook

But wait-there’s more! Hayes doesn’t trust the US dollar. No, no, no. Not at all. He believes the greenback is rapidly losing its power. For proof, he points to places like Argentina, where the struggle for stable currency is so real, it might as well be a Netflix drama. Crypto, he says, is the future, and he’s not the only one with this epiphany. Along with Bitcoin, Hayes also has a soft spot for Gold (you know, the shiny, real thing), because it’s trusted by… well, everyone-including central banks. It’s like the grandma of the investment world, always steady and never texting too much. 🪙

Different Cycle, Different Outcome

But here’s the kicker. In his blog post *“Long Live the King”*, Hayes pulls the rug out from under the so-called “cycle theory” enthusiasts. Apparently, all those cycle experts applying outdated rules to Bitcoin are missing the *why* behind the rise and fall. According to Hayes, the past cycles are irrelevant to what’s coming, and this time around, the old rules just won’t apply. Sounds like a classic case of ‘trust me, I’m an expert,’ right? Well, he’s got a point… kinda.

And then, there’s Justin d’Anethan from Arctic Digital, who agrees with Hayes in a way that makes you question if there’s a secret crypto club we’re all not invited to. His take: Bitcoin’s dip post-ATH isn’t a “pivot,” just a “pause.” Sounds fancy, doesn’t it? With strong ETF inflows and shrinking exchange balances, it’s starting to look like Bitcoin is just taking a breather before its next sprint to the moon. 🚀

In the end, Arthur Hayes leaves us with the eternal question: Will Bitcoin hit $1M by 2028? And if so, how badly will it crash in 2029? It’s like betting on a horse you know is going to win… and then break its leg. Fun times ahead, folks!

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2025-10-10 16:48