Ah, the sublime theatre of the House of Doge! A merger, they say, that shall elevate Dogecoin’s corporate visage to the hallowed halls of NASDAQ by 2026. How quaintly ambitious! The announcement, a veritable fireworks display of hype, briefly rekindled the flickering optimism of the DOGE faithful. Lo and behold, the price rebounded by a staggering 45% by October 13, rising phoenix-like from the ashes of its “Black Friday” calamity.
Yet, as with all masquerades, the masks soon slipped. The recovery, it seems, was but a gilded exit for the astute. Key holders, those wily custodians of fortune, seized the moment to lighten their burdens, leaving one to wonder: was this optimism born of conviction, or merely the froth of hype? In the past 24 hours, the price has languished in a flat stupor, prompting traders to scrutinize the 4-hour chart with the zeal of a detective at a crime scene.
Whales and Their Long-Term Comrades: A Grand Exit, Stage Right 🎭
Following the House of Doge spectacle, on-chain data reveals a most telling exodus. Major wallets and long-term investors, those stalwarts of the cryptosphere, have substantially trimmed their sails. The whale wallets, holding between 100 million and 1 billion DOGE, reduced their balances from 28.83 billion DOGE on October 13 to 28.47 billion DOGE two days hence. A modest 360 million DOGE, you say? Nay, ’tis a treasure worth $74 million at the current price-a sum that would make even the most stoic of souls blush.
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Meanwhile, the Holder Net Position Change, that most reliable of barometers, has remained stubbornly negative, worsening with each passing day. Between October 9 and October 14, net selling swelled from -48 million DOGE to -329 million DOGE, a clarion call that even the most devoted holders have taken flight. While the crash sentiment played its part, the waters have scarcely calmed, even as the Black Friday jitters subsided.
A modicum of solace, perhaps: compared to October 12, when the figure languished near -366 million DOGE, the current -329 million DOGE suggests a faint whisper of buying. A slow waltz back into the fray, if you will.
In sum, nearly 640 million DOGE, a princely $130 million, has departed the wallets of whales and holders during and after the 45% bounce. A pattern, one might say, of opportunism-a fleeting strength exploited to cut losses or secure gains.
Dogecoin’s Price: A Dance with Destiny at $0.20 💃💸
On the 4-hour chart, that most delicate of instruments for discerning early trend shifts, Dogecoin’s price continues its dance within a descending triangle. A pattern, I daresay, that portends weakness should buyers falter in their defense of key levels. The upper resistance zone, a mere $0.206, stands as the threshold to short-term strength. A daily close above it, and the bulls might yet roar.
Yet, all is not sunshine and roses in this chart. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), that harbinger of momentum, reveals a hidden bearish divergence. Prices have traced lower highs, while the RSI has ascended to higher highs-a discordant symphony that suggests waning buying power. Such divergence, I fear, hints at a correction in the shorter frame.
But fear not, for $0.194 remains a critical bastion, the base of the bearish triangle. A decisive breach below this level, however, could unleash a torrent of corrections, opening the floodgates to $0.181 and even $0.149. A dramatic denouement, indeed, for our canine protagonist.
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2025-10-15 17:02