- Bitcoin‘s short-term holders (STHs), once in dire straits, now find their average loss diminished to a mere 6.4%, a trifling sum in the grand scheme of things. ๐ง
- 41,800 BTC, a modest sum by some standards, has been deposited on exchanges by STHs, a shift from desperate selling to calculated profit-taking. ๐
- Bitcoin’s price, now flirting with $99,412, may yet herald a shift in sentiment, though the STHs remain ever the cautious dancers in this financial waltz. ๐ญ
Bitcoin short-term holders, those dear souls, have found themselves in a most vexing predicament. On-chain data reveals their plight, though the average loss has shrunk, a glimmer of hope in a sea of despair. ๐ง
Historically, when STHs face losses exceeding 10%, Bitcoin descends into a capitulation phase, a most unpleasant affair. The recent recovery has lifted them from this discomfort, yet the market’s future remains a mystery, much like a letter penned in cipher. ๐
A Most Welcome Recovery for the Short-Term Holders
Recent on-chain data reveals a recovery rally, a boon for the short-term holders, who, having acquired their Bitcoin within the past 155 days, are ever sensitive to market fluctuations. Yet, as the price ascends, their average loss has dwindled from over 10% to a mere 6.4%. ๐งพ
The STHs are at last escaping their tormenting discomfort, a most welcome respite indeed! ๐
Historically in this cycle, when STHs bore losses exceeding 10%, BTC tended to enter a capitulation phase, during which a bottom was forming.
Today, we are finally exiting that phase.
๐ STHs areโฆ
– Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc)
This shift, though slight, indicates a sigh of relief, though they remain in an unrealized loss position. The data suggests they wait patiently for the market to return to profitability, a task as daunting as navigating a ballroom without a partner. ๐บ
Profit-Taking Behavior Grows Among Short-Term Holders
A most notable development is the increasing amount of Bitcoin sent to exchanges by STHs. The on-chain data shows 41,800 BTC deposited, a shift from loss-driven selling to profit-taking. ๐งพ
While the majority of STHs remain in an unrealized loss, the proportion of transactions in profit has grown. Data from CryptoQuant Maartunn reveals STHs now prioritize profit over loss, a most prudent decision. ๐ง
STH Realized Price Reflects Market Sentiment
The STH Realized Price, that most esteemed metric, tracks the average cost basis of Bitcoin purchased within 155 days. During the market dip, Bitcoinโs price fell below this threshold, a most alarming sight. ๐
Short-Term Holder Cost Basis is now at $99,412 ๐
Bitcoin is trading just below this key level-crucial for bulls to reclaim.
As long as price stays under it, this looks more like a bear market rally than a new trend.
– Maartunn (@JA_Maartun)
As of now, Bitcoinโs price approaches $99,412, the STH Realized Price. If it surpasses this level, it may signal a shift in sentiment, though the STHs remain ever the cautious observers. ๐ง
The Market’s Future: A Most Uncertain Prospect
As Bitcoin nears the STH cost basis, the market’s evolution remains a most intriguing question. While the current recovery offers optimism, the behavior of short-term holders could be the deciding factor. ๐ค
If STHs hold longer or take profits, it may signal sustainable growth, a most desirable outcome. The relationship between Bitcoinโs price and the STH Realized Price will continue to intrigue analysts, though the market remains as capricious as a young debutante. ๐ฉ
The STHs, though relieved, remain ever the wary spectators, their fortunes tied to the whims of a fickle market. ๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ
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2026-01-19 11:51