Bitcoin ‘Risk Index’ Hits Zero, Has Selling Pressure Finally Exhausted?

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<a href="https://minority-mindset.com/btc-usd/">Bitcoin</a> ‘Risk Index’ Hits Zero, Has Selling Pressure Finally Exhausted?

According to Swissblock, the Bitcoin Risk Index recently reached zero, indicating a very low-risk environment for Bitcoin. This index, created by Swissblock, assesses the overall risk in the Bitcoin market by looking at the balance between buyers and sellers, and helps determine how risky it is to invest in or hold Bitcoin.

Swissblock observes that this indicates less selling activity, suggests the end of a downward trend (though not yet a period of growth), and points to a stabilization within a low-risk environment.

These areas have often signaled the end of a downtrend, suggesting that buyers are starting to regain control and prices may begin to rise.

Bitcoin at Bear Market Resistance

According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, Bitcoin’s Coin Days Destroyed metric has sharply decreased, suggesting that fewer long-term Bitcoin holders are moving their coins.

We’ve noticed a change in how long-term Bitcoin holders (LTHs) are behaving. They were very active for a while, but now their activity seems to be decreasing.

From my analysis, what might seem concerning could actually be a positive development. I’m seeing indications that assets are being transferred to more secure, quantum-resistant storage, and this move also suggests that the amount of selling activity is decreasing.

“When CDD declines to this extent, it still indicates that selling pressure is decreasing.”

As I’ve been tracking the market, I’ve noticed Bitcoin is nearing a key resistance level. We’re getting close to the on-chain Realized Price, which currently sits around $76,800 – a point that often signals the top of a bear market. This is something traders will be watching closely.

Alphractal has also observed that Bitcoin is nearing important price levels based on its on-chain data, specifically the True Market Mean Price and the Realized Price for short-term holders.

We need to keep a close watch on this area, because in the past, prices have often struggled to move higher here during market downturns.

Bitcoin is nearing important price levels based on its on-chain data, including the True Market Mean Price and the Short-Term Holder Realized Price. These levels could act as resistance, potentially slowing down its price increase.

Keep a close watch on this area, as it’s often proven difficult for prices to rise past it, especially during market downturns.

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— Alphractal (@Alphractal) April 14, 2026

Bitcoin reached a high of $75,800 on Tuesday, a price it hadn’t seen since March 17th. However, it struggled to break through that level and had fallen back to around $74,000 by Wednesday.

Ethereum Relief Rally Continues

Ethereum has been doing better than Bitcoin lately, reaching $2,400 on Tuesday – a price it hasn’t seen since early February. According to Glassnode, this means Ethereum owners who’ve held for one to three months are now back above their original purchase price of around $2,300, following a recent surge in the crypto market.

However, the analysts noted this increase resembles a typical, temporary recovery within a declining market – similar to what happened late last year – and isn’t likely to signal a lasting change in the market’s direction.

As an analyst, I’m watching a concerning trend: Santiment data indicates retail investors are rapidly selling off their Ethereum. They seem to believe the recent 17% price increase since late March isn’t a genuine upward move, but rather a ‘bull trap.’ Interestingly, they suggest this skepticism actually *supports* the possibility that this positive momentum could continue, despite the selling pressure.

“Further profit-taking and dumping should be taken as a bullish signal.”

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2026-04-15 08:53