Key Takeaways
DeFi TVL and Open Interest are having a party, but social and network metrics are just standing there, confused. š¤·āāļø
Avalancheās [AVAX] DeFi ecosystem has seen a significant boost following its recent Octane upgrade, with total value locked (TVL) soaring nearly 40% quarter-over-quarter to $1.5 billion. Itās like the blockchain version of a caffeine shot. ā
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Will AVAX break past resistance?
AVAX recently completed a textbook double bottom pattern and broke out of its descending trendline. The price now hovers around the $26ā$28 resistance zone, historically acting as a strong barrier. Itās like the blockchain version of a stubborn wall. š§±
This technical setup typically signals a trend reversal, but confirmation requires a decisive close above resistance. Letās hope they donāt get stuck in the āalmost thereā zone. š§
A rejection from this level could trigger a pullback to retest lower supports. However, sustained buying pressureāparticularly from DeFi inflows and tradersācould pave the way for a clean breakout in the coming sessions. š

Why is sentiment improving while social attention weakens?
Despite the price rally, AVAXās social dominance has dropped to 0.419%, reflecting fading discussions and hype around the asset. Itās like the blockchain version of a quiet party. š
In contrast, Weighted Sentiment improved slightly to +0.115, signaling a modest shift toward optimism. Modest? More like āIām cautiously optimistic, but not really.ā š¤
The muted social presence may limit the reach of this rally, especially if media traction doesnāt follow price performance. Therefore, a surge in social buzz could be key to fueling further upside. š

Can AVAX maintain momentum despite falling network activity?
Network data paints a less optimistic picture, with new addresses dropping by 33.93% and active addresses falling over 10% in the last seven days. These figures contrast sharply with the rise in price and TVL, implying that the rally may be driven more by capital rotation than organic user growth. Capital rotation? More like āIām moving money around to see what sticks.ā šø
For long-term sustainability, Avalanche needs renewed user onboarding and interaction. Otherwise, the current momentum may lose strength once the initial upgrade-driven excitement fades from the ecosystem. Itās like a house of cards, and the wind is coming. š§

Conclusively, AVAX is showing technical and fundamental strength, with rising TVL, bullish price patterns, and growing trader confidence. However, weak network activity and flat social traction could limit its upside. A successful resistance breakout, paired with renewed user growth, may validate the rally and open doors to higher targets. š§±
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2025-07-29 09:15