According to crypto analyst Bee, there are three key indicators that suggest when the current Bitcoin downturn might be over. This analysis comes as Bitcoin continues to struggle to stay above the $80,000 mark, and many experts believe another price drop is coming soon.
Bitcoin Bear Market Rules As To When The Bear Market May End
In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), analyst Bee outlined three key characteristics of Bitcoin bear markets. He says these periods typically last at least 350 days, the lowest price always touches the 350-day moving average, and the price ultimately falls further than most anticipate. Because of these patterns, Bee believes the current bear market isn’t over, even with Bitcoin’s recent price increase.
According to his analysis, Bitcoin could fall to around $46,000 before reaching its lowest point in this current downturn. He also pointed out that Bitcoin hasn’t yet touched its 350-day moving average, which is around $47,000. Despite the potential for further decline, he added that Bitcoin has already recovered about 65% of the losses typically seen in these types of market cycles.

The analyst currently anticipates Bitcoin’s price will continue to fall, possibly hitting new lows. They believe several factors are hindering any upward movement, leading them to believe further declines are likely. They predict a significant price drop is coming, and they will consider switching to a more optimistic outlook once Bitcoin reaches a specific technical level – the 350-day moving average.
Bitcoin recently surged past $80,000, even reaching $82,000 over the weekend. However, it’s now facing difficulties maintaining that level, dropping below $80,000 yesterday after the release of higher-than-expected inflation data. Adding to the uncertainty, peace talks between the U.S. and Iran have stalled, potentially putting further downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price.
Analyst Open To The Bottom Being In
Colin, a cryptocurrency analyst who previously expected Bitcoin’s price to fall further, now believes there’s a better chance the price has hit its lowest point. However, he still thinks Bitcoin could dip back down to between $60,000 and $70,000 before the end of the year if this is indeed the case.
However, Colin also suggested it’s possible the lowest price for this market cycle hasn’t been reached, and Bitcoin could fall further by the end of the year. He explained that the longer Bitcoin stays stable or increases in value, the less likely it is that we’ll see a significant drop to a new low.
As of today, Bitcoin is trading around $81,200, a slight decrease from its price 24 hours ago, based on CoinMarketCap data.

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2026-05-13 22:28