So, ARK Invest, right? They’ve got this report, “Big Ideas 2026.” Sounds fancy. They’re claiming the whole smart contract and digital currency market could balloon to a whopping $28 trillion by 2030. I mean, who comes up with these numbers? It’s like predicting how many jellybeans will be in a jar at the fair. But hey, if they say it’s gonna grow at 61% a year, I guess we should all start investing our lunch money, huh?
Now, get this: they think Bitcoin is going to gobble up 70% of that market. That’s bold-like saying you’re going to eat 70% of the pizza and still leave some for the rest of us. And then there’s Ethereum and Solana, the leftovers, I guess. Good luck with that.
Bitcoin Leads ARK’s 2030 Outlook
According to ARK, BTC‘s value might shoot up from nearly $2 trillion to about $16 trillion by 2030. A CAGR of 63%? Look, I can’t even keep my plants alive for more than a week! But sure, let’s just assume Bitcoin’s gonna thrive like my neighbor’s overgrown lawn.
They also think smart contracts are going to zoom to $6 trillion, hitting a 54% growth rate. Honestly, this all sounds great until you realize that makes about as much sense as my aunt’s fruitcake recipe. And apparently, two or three Layer 1 platforms will take most of that pie. Just two or three? So much for diversity!
Oh, and speaking of Bitcoin, US ETFs were holding 12% of the total supply in 2025, which is up from 8.7%. That’s like saying, “Hey, I had a little more of that dessert last time!” Public companies are also hoarding Bitcoin now-it’s practically a new collector’s item. We’re all just waiting for the trading cards to come out.
ARK claims Bitcoin’s risk-adjusted returns are better than most other big cryptocurrencies. Can you imagine telling your friends that? “Yeah, my Bitcoin does better than your Ethereum, and it’s safer too!” It’s like being that guy who always brings the best snacks to the party. Everyone loves you, but deep down, they’re a little jealous.
And apparently, Bitcoin is becoming less volatile. Who would’ve thought? It’s like saying your uncle finally settled down after years of dating chaos.
Only a Few Coins Will Survive?
Now, Layer 1 networks are turning into something more serious-like a kid growing up and actually getting a job. ARK estimates that 90% of Ethereum’s value comes from its monetary role. Meanwhile, Solana’s making a measly $1.4 billion, which seems pretty good until you realize it’s all about utility. Sounds like they’re offering the “buy one, get one free” deal at a yard sale.
In the end, ARK believes only a handful of these digital assets will be left standing. It’s like a game of musical chairs, and everyone’s just waiting for the music to stop.
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2026-01-25 19:05