Key Takeaways
Ethereum‘s been on a roll, gaining 35% in just four weeks! Analysts say it’s all thanks to a fancy fractal pattern, some snazzy technical indicators, and a cool $11 million in spot inflows. But will it keep climbing? Only time (and maybe a few more charts) will tell!
Over the past four weeks, Ethereum [ETH] has been on a bullish streak, gaining 35%. The uptrend continued over the past 24 hours, with the asset posting a double-digit gain of just above 10%. 📈
This liquidity shift from Bitcoin to ETH appears to be a key driver of the rally, but there’s more to it. AMBCrypto has analyzed several additional factors likely to influence Ethereum’s next move.
ETH 28-day rally? Fractal says yes!
Market analyst and founder of Alphractal, Joao Wedson, identified a striking pattern between Ethereum and Bitcoin.
According to their research, ETH tends to rally 28 days after Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high, likely driven by liquidity rotation from profits realized on BTC. 🤑
Historical data supports this idea. In both 2017 and 2021—when Bitcoin traded above $19,000 and later above $68,000—ETH followed with explosive gains. 💥
In the 2017 cycle, ETH surged over 100% while BTC lost 30%. In another phase, ETH jumped 80% as BTC dropped 20%.
Based on the same pattern, the countdown has likely begun. Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of $123,000 on the 14th of July, before declining, potentially setting the stage for Ethereum’s breakout. 🌅
AMBCrypto has taken the analysis further by assessing sentiment using the ETH/BTC chart.
Sellers may regret as momentum builds
The ETH/BTC chart is forming new higher highs, confirming strong liquidity inflow into ETH and outflow from BTC. 💸
As of press time, the chart shows a rally approaching a resistance level at $0.02938.
A rejection in this zone could trigger a pullback into the red-shaded demand area. If selling pressure increases, ETH/BTC may decline toward the $0.02605–$0.02540 range. 📉
However, sellers might end up taking losses. Technical indicators continue to signal a strong bullish trend. 📈
The Aroon Indicator, which measures trend strength and direction, showed the Aroon Up (orange) hitting 100%, while the Aroon Down (blue) sat at just 7.18%—a clear confirmation of bullish momentum.
In fact, further upside appears likely. 🚀
AMBCrypto also identified a bullish signal from the Moving Average Ribbon: the short-term 20 and 50 MAs have crossed above the 100-day MA.
A more definitive bullish confirmation would be a crossover above the 200-day MA. If this final flip occurs, sellers at current resistance levels would incur significant losses. 💸
Fresh spot buying in the mix
Spot market investors have returned after two consecutive days of selling.
According to CoinGlass, the Spot Exchange Netflow showed a notable $11 million inflow into Ethereum over the past 24 hours. 💰
Much of the purchased ETH has moved into private wallets, signaling long-term conviction and a shift in market posture. 🔒
If this trend continues, the added liquidity could fuel further momentum, setting ETH on track to establish new highs in the days ahead. 🚀
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2025-07-18 12:12