XRP has been attempting to continue its upward trend following last week’s gains, but it’s currently facing resistance at a common price level. The token is trading between approximately $1.30 and $1.40, but buyers haven’t been able to drive the price higher for a lasting breakout.
Despite recent conditions, XRP’s MACD indicator is showing a positive sign for the first time in months, suggesting that the price could start to rise again.
Market analyst Sam Daodu says whether the recent market turnaround will last depends on what happens over the next ten days. Several important economic events and regulatory decisions will be key factors to watch.
This Signal Has Big History
According to Daodu, XRP’s MACD indicator spent most of 2026 below its signal line, and previous attempts to show an upward trend were unsuccessful. However, this time, the recent positive change seems to be holding steady instead of quickly reversing, which is a promising sign.
He notes that past instances of the MACD crossing over for XRP have been significant. The last time this bullish signal appeared, XRP experienced its largest price increase in months.
In early January, the MACD indicator turned positive, and the token’s price quickly increased by about 25% within a week. This surge peaked around $2.40 on January 7th, and Daodu noted it was XRP’s strongest price increase of the year up to that point. Interestingly, the current market conditions are showing a similar positive momentum that triggered that earlier rally.
Despite recent positive signals, Daodu believes XRP needs two specific developments to truly rise in price, instead of just continuing to fluctuate within its current trading range.
First, progress on the CLARITY Act is crucial. He explained that the Act needs to be finalized—specifically, marked up—before May, as organizations are more likely to get involved once the rules are clearer.
The second key factor is a positive shift in global politics—he believes the current truce will last past April 22nd. These changes matter because they could encourage more organizations to invest, as they’ve been waiting for a more stable situation.
XRP Breakout Watch
Daodu estimates that if these conditions are met, investors seeking clearer rules could invest an additional $4 to $8 billion in XRP ETFs.
He believes that if the price stays above $1.55 at the end of each day, it will confirm a positive signal from the MACD and suggest that the recent price increase is likely to continue, rather than being a short-term fluctuation.
If the expected confirmation happens, the price of the cryptocurrency could rise to around $1.80. This would be a 25% increase from its current price of $1.43.
However, there’s a more likely scenario that could stop the recent gains. He believes the quickest way for the market to lose steam would be if the current ceasefire ends on April 22nd without a new agreement in place.
If conflict restarts, oil prices are likely to rise above $100 a barrel, which could negatively impact investments considered risky. This could also cause the MACD indicator to signal a downward trend. Furthermore, if the CLARITY Act doesn’t pass by May, the price of XRP could fall, potentially dropping to $1.30 or even lower, reversing recent gains.
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2026-04-22 12:06