The indefatigable XRP enthusiast, XRPunkie, has been making waves (pun intended) with his latest thesis: XRP is poised for a 600% rally, ร la its previous meteoric rise, all part of the vaunted Wave 3 Elliot structure. The altcoin, he posits, shall zoom past its erstwhile highs to the dizzying heights of $13-$15. One can almost hear the champagne corks popping in the distance… or is it merely the sound of credulous investors being led down the garden path? ๐ฅ
This theory, much like a debutante at a high-society ball, has captured the attention of the community, amidst the recent bullish developments. But, dear reader, let us not be swayed by the whims of fancy; let us instead don the cloak of skepticism and subject this claim to the cold, harsh light of scrutiny. ๐
CoinPedia, that bastion of level-headedness, shall decode the claim, and we shall follow their lead, with a healthy dose of humor and sarcasm, naturally. ๐
Can $XRP pull another 600% gain like what we did in Nov-Jan in the next wave up? Usually the Wave 3 will be the strongest and most explosive wave. Which means we ‘could’ potentially expect more than 6x from current price. Personally I think $13-15 is possible.
โ XRPunkie (@Shawnmark7899) July 7, 2025
Claim | XRP will rally 600% in Wave 3 to hit $13โ$15 |
Verdict | No Guarantee ๐ค |
Fact-Check by | CoinPedia ๐ฐ |
Also Read : Is XRP Price Heading for a Crash? ๐จ
The Proponent of This Daring Claim
XRPunkie, that intrepid soul, has shared a chart projecting a 600% surge for XRP in the next bullish wave. The post, as seen above, highlights an Elliott Wave count suggesting XRP could mirror its previous +600% rally, which was seen between Nov 2024 and Jan 2025. To reach its new all-time high between $13 and $15 in Wave III, naturally. ๐
Coinpediaโs Key Findings and Counter-Evidence ๐
1. Elliott Wave: A Pattern-Based Framework, Not a Guarantee of Success
The Elliott Wave framework, while widely acknowledged, is also subjective, much like a certain someone’s taste in art. ๐จ While Wave 3 is generally the strongest, successful execution depends on the correct wave count and ideal market conditions. Many analysts debate XRPโs current wave positioning, rather like a group of befuddled tourists arguing over a map. ๐บ๏ธ
2. XRP Faces a Roadblock Near $2.35 ๐ง
Technical indicators show that XRP is testing resistance near $2.35, with the Bollinger Band upper bound and RSI at 56.73, nearing its overbought territory. We believe that this short-term upside may be limited unless backed by a high-volume breakout, rather like a car requiring a fresh tank of gas to continue its journey. โฝ๏ธ
3. Market Conditions: Not Quite Ready for Altcoin Liftoff ๐
- BTC dominance stands at 64.5%, overshadowing altcoin growth, much like a large tree blocking the sunlight from smaller plants. ๐ณ
- Altcoin season index is only 25/100, showing weak alt momentum, rather like a car struggling to gain traction on a slippery road. ๐
- The Fear & Greed index is neutral at 50, lacking emotional sentiments that often trigger large rallies, much like a firework without a spark. ๐
4. On-Chain Metrics: Improving, But Not Quite There Yet ๐
Active addresses on the 90-day time frame and exchange outflows show a modest uptick, suggesting accumulation but not a full-blown demand surge, rather like a gentle breeze on a summer’s day. โ๏ธ Volume rose 76.73% in 24 hours, which is positive but not unprecedented, much like a pleasant but not spectacular meal. ๐ด

Also Read : Ripple Price Prediction After XRP ETF Approval ๐
5. Fundamentals: Strong, But Not Enough Alone ๐ช
- XRP Ledger just launched its EVM-compatible sidechain, boosting DeFi prospects, much like a new highway opening up fresh possibilities for travel. ๐
- Ripple secured an RLUSD collateral deal and received SEC approval for Grayscaleโs XRP ETF, both bullish milestones, rather like two sturdy legs supporting a table. ๐๏ธ
- The Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit could soon reach a resolution, much like a long-awaited verdict in a court case. ๐ค
Claim vs Coinpediaโs Evidence ๐
Claim Made by Theory | Coinpediaโs Counter-Evidence |
XRP surged 600% in 73 days before, so it can again | Past performance โ future results, depends on the cycle context ๐ |
Wave 3 will drive XRP to $13โ$15 | Fibonacci levels are projections, not price guarantees ๐ฎ |
Strong fundamentals will ignite Wave 3 | Fundamentals help, but donโt guarantee price spikes ๐ธ |
Breakout from consolidation is bullish | Breakouts need volume + momentum to sustain big moves ๐ |
The market is ready for an altcoin wave | BTC dominance is high, altcoin season is not confirmed yet ๐ค |
Conclusion ๐
The theory that XRP could hit $13โ$15 based on Wave 3 projections is plausible but highly speculative, much like a tantalizing rumor that may or may not be true. ๐ค While XRPโs strong fundamentals, recent ETF approval, and sidechain launch support bullish sentiment, technical and macro factors do not yet confirm the conditions needed for a 600% rally. ๐
We would suggest investors to watch for a breakout above $2.50 with rising volume and signs of altcoin dominance before considering this theory for purchases, rather like waiting for a ripe fruit to fall from the tree. ๐
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2025-07-08 14:09