In which the Treasury, like a dandy cad, drains the punch bowl and leaves Bitcoin tipsy on the pavement đ
- Bitcoin, that volatile narcissist, has swooned 13 % since Thursday-fainting like a Wildean duchess denied her afternoon champagne.
- The culprit? Not glamorous Jackson Hole, but the Treasuryâs General Account-a most unglamorous financial hoover, slurping up $400 B faster than Lord Henry devours gossip.
Cast of this tragicomedy

BTCBTC   $113,718.95   â˘1.18%

XRPXRP   $2.8930   â˘4.27%
Jackson Hole? Merely a decorative backdrop, darling. The true drama unfolds in the Treasuryâs stately star chamber, where ledger lines pirouette and liquidity pirouettes away. Picture it: millions of traders clutching pearls while the Fed calmly refills the TGA coffers-and the rest of us foot the bill. đ¸
Bitcoin-that overexposed socialite-now trades near $113,500, down from last weekâs glittering $124,000 apex. Ether, XRP and SOL follow like obedient courtiers, curtsying toward the abyss. The CoinDesk 80 Index has tumbled 13 %, proving that gravity, like scandal, loves the spotlight.
Wall Streetâs darling, the Nasdaq, has suffered its own vertigo: minus 1.40 %, down to $23,384. Analysts blame âde-risking,â a euphemism for grown men reading Fed tea leaves and promptly fainting onto their Bloomberg terminals. đ¤
Yet David Duong of Coinbase-tossing shade like a seasoned epigrammatist-declares:
âJackson Hole is but a polite fiction. The true villain is the approaching $400 B TGA drain. September may forgive us, but August is positively vengeful.â
The Treasury General Account: a pocket of infinite mystery (and finite cash)
Imagine the TGA as a grand duchessâs reticule: taxes flow in, debts flutter out. Normally, she lingers at society gatherings, tossing liquidity like confetti. Today, she snaps the purse shut, demanding the debts be repaid in full-and markets gasp in unladylike fashion. đ
A fragile encore
The TGA has ballooned from $320 B to over $500 B since July. The Treasury, that industrious dramaturge, now plans to raise another $500-$600 B of fresh debt. Alas, the audience (a.k.a. global liquidity) is less enchanted than in 2023.
Bank reserves are thinner, foreign buyers more coy, and the Fedâs own purse strings remain tied tighter than a Victorian corset. Any new issuance may trigger the financial equivalent of a swoon on the ballroom floor-fainting couch not included.
-Marcus Wu, Delphi Digital
In short, should liquidity tighten further, BTC bulls may find that late-year rallies are as mythical as Dorian Grayâs morals. đ
Bon voyage, dear speculators; may your stop-losses be tighter than Oscarâs wit.
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2025-08-20 09:46