In the grand bazaar of cryptocurrency, where fortunes rise and fall with the grace of a wobbly penguin on ice, we find ourselves in a rather muted atmosphere these days. The likes of Bitcoin and its colorful crew of altcoins are having a nice little sit-down, consolidating after a bout of rather dramatic volatility. Amidst this tranquil scene, one might observe the Pi Network price-like a diligent tortoise-quietly gathering momentum, having waddled up more than 6% on the day. Traders are getting their ducks in a row ahead of the project’s first anniversary on February 20, which is just around the corner, like a cheeky guest who shows up uninvited.
With sentiments stabilizing across this raucous market, PI’s unexpected vigor is certainly catching the eye, particularly as structural supply pressure appears to be taking a breather. One cannot help but wonder: is this the giddy excitement of pre-anniversary jubilation, or merely the first signs of a broader breakout? The suspense is positively thrilling!
Mainnet Migration Pauses: Pressure Relieved, or Just a Nuisance?
Recent figures from PiScan are telling quite a tale, revealing a pause in daily mainnet transfers-a rather lackluster development if ever there was one. Earlier in February, we witnessed migration volumes that could put a seasoned marathon runner to shame, with a whopping 71.18 million PI on February 6 and 58.33 million PI on February 2. Alas, the latest gossip suggests a significant cooling of migration activity, with only a paltry 259,397 PI making the dash before everything came to a screeching halt. To date, over 616.7 million PI tokens have migrated to the mainnet, a sum that would make even Scrooge McDuck raise an eyebrow, representing roughly $117.5 million at current prices. But here lies the rub-the flow direction has slowed to a trickle.

One must remember that mainnet migration allows users to shuffle their unlocked PI into the active ecosystem, potentially increasing supply on the exchange side. A pause in this process is akin to putting a cork in a bottle-reducing fresh token availability, especially on centralized platforms. In a marketplace where demand remains steady, even a temporary retreat in supply can lend a helping hand to prices.
As the anniversary draws near, it appears traders are playing a cheeky game of front-running the tightening liquidity conditions rather than waiting for confirmation, much like a clever fox in a henhouse.
PI Price Structure: A Tightrope Walk Below Resistance
The price structure of the Pi Network has made a remarkable transition from a clear downtrend into a phase of stabilization. The chart tells a story of previous consecutive lower highs and lower lows, all while finding demand near the $0.16 mark-where the smart money seems to gather. The reaction from that zone was as sharp as a well-honed dagger, producing a robust impulsive leap back toward the $0.19-$0.20 supply zone. Short-term moving averages are curling upward and beginning to compress beneath the price, suggesting that momentum is indeed on the up and up. However, our dear PI price is still constrained under the horizontal resistance of $0.20, leaving us in a state of delightful anticipation regarding the breakout confirmation.

A decisive close above $0.20 would throw the recent lower-high structure out the proverbial window and pave the way toward the next supply block near $0.22-$0.25. On the flip side, should we encounter immediate support around $0.180, it might just weaken our breakout setup and drag the price back toward the comforting embrace of the $0.16 base.
Anniversary Momentum: A Catalyst or Just a Coincidence?
As we inch closer to February 20, market psychology becomes the name of the game. Anniversary events have a tendency to reignite community engagement and social momentum, even if they don’t bring about any fundamental shifts worthy of a standing ovation. Coupled with the reduced migration inflows and an improving technical structure, the stage is set for Pi Network price to reach a pivotal point. The upcoming sessions will determine whether this rally extends into a triumphant breakout above $0.20, or merely stalls once more beneath the looming overhead supply, leaving everyone scratching their heads in bewilderment.
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2026-02-18 10:06